Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 4.613898 5.003384 5.424655 5.916655 6.478681 7.104525 7.859569
2025-03-16 3.958450 4.488057 5.101705 5.875164 6.838616 8.019722 9.610988
2025-03-23 3.645957 4.262156 5.011453 6.010099 7.339534 9.101362 11.713007
2025-03-30 3.302298 3.939737 4.740528 5.850046 7.399500 9.576665 13.057870
2025-04-06 3.030965 3.673804 4.502372 5.686832 7.407748 9.949896 14.299332
2025-04-13 2.809460 3.449656 4.292432 5.529189 7.388109 10.257975 15.482734
2025-04-20 2.656300 3.301955 4.169295 5.474999 7.504864 10.783005 17.157769
2025-04-27 2.581683 3.252941 4.175156 5.604036 7.913506 11.848178 20.152770
2025-05-04 2.521498 3.217884 4.195251 5.752346 8.367799 13.074165 23.922419
2025-05-11 2.424521 3.123643 4.120677 5.743142 8.551141 13.829918 26.932476
2025-05-18 2.344875 3.048800 4.068374 5.762431 8.783330 14.723100 30.687108
2025-05-25 2.222286 2.904678 3.901979 5.579329 8.623954 14.775424 32.157931
2025-06-01 2.118271 2.789060 3.781753 5.480200 8.642019 15.287822 35.542025
2025-06-08 2.035449 2.701835 3.701861 5.446198 8.788755 16.148159 40.771935
2025-06-15 1.993577 2.673213 3.711168 5.566755 9.258748 17.909840 51.008412
2025-06-22 1.900885 2.561886 3.580329 5.423970 9.164285 18.224000 55.622670
2025-06-29 1.814925 2.456888 3.453669 5.278130 9.044311 18.445476 60.156420
2025-07-06 1.736307 2.359821 3.334714 5.137050 8.917091 18.620957 64.798505
2025-07-13 1.680798 2.296461 3.268037 5.088504 8.989659 19.400105 74.257054
2025-07-20 1.658983 2.284991 3.287035 5.204061 9.453912 21.531266 97.720631
2025-07-27 1.641037 2.278572 3.313775 5.336698 9.982467 24.114239 135.097477
2025-08-03 1.600618 2.233979 3.271937 5.328472 10.163284 25.572230 168.803546
2025-08-10 1.566676 2.198454 3.243880 5.345710 10.412638 27.414536 221.983648